Trump Presidency

Trump Wins Round #1 With North Korea Nuclear Showdown

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The ‘Mainstream Media’ (The Real ‘Fake News’ Is The ‘Mainstream Media’), Our Corrupt, Corporate Bought, CIA Controlled, Non-Credible, Stagecraft Experts, Pretend To Act Aghast At President Donald Trump’s Comments On North Korea As He Promises “Fire And Fury” And Warns That American Military Solutions Are “Locked And Loaded.”

This is what happens when you try to stretch 10 minutes of news into 24 hours of biased coverage.

The political elite, and the foreign policy establishment, oscillate between bitter scorn and sheer panic at his tactics. But one does not have to be convinced of Trump’s rhetorical genius to note that he has already re-framed the conflict in a way that is advantageous to the U.S.


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Case in point, President Trump has radically changed the costs of a potential conflict, for both sides. The dominant paradigm of nuclear face-offs is mutually assured destruction (MAD), which is why the Soviet Union and the U.S. never attacked each other during the Cold War. Most of the discussion about North Korea has followed the same pattern, because of the threat of ICBMs to the U.S. mainland. After Trump threatened to annihilate North Korea, however, Kim Jong-un threatened to attack … Guam. Trump doubled down, indicating that a North Korean attack on Guam would trigger an attack against the regime. That shifted the costs of a war radically in our favor and against theirs.

Trump Wins Round #1 With North Korea Nuclear Showdown

Furthermore, it is noteworthy that the North Korean threat to Guam did not refer to nuclear weapons, but rather hinted at conventional missile strikes. There is no way to know for sure that the regime would not use nuclear weapons, if indeed the North Koreans can miniaturize them, but a conventional attack is certainly less serious than a nuclear one. In threatening the most violent possible attack, Trump elicited a response that is significantly less threatening.

In addition, President Trump diverted attention away from North Korea’s more vulnerable neighbors, South Korea and Japan. Of course the North Koreans could attack them if the U.S. launched a war. But instead of talking about the potential deaths of millions of people in densely-populated areas, the world is now talking about the qualms felt by a few people on a remote island. That makes Trump’s words look less scary, and eases pressure for the U.S. to back down.

Trump Wins Round #1 With North Korea Nuclear Showdown

Trump won’t blink in North Korea Standoff. But China might. Update: The Chinese government is now indicating that it will not defend North Korea from a retaliatory strike if the regime attacks the U.S. (which includes Guam). The Global Times, which reflects the view of the Chinese government, indicated that China would stop the U.S. from trying to overthrow the North Korean regime, but would not defend North Korea if it struck the U.S. first. That is a significant change from the status quo ante.

The situation remains unstable, and could escalate. But Trump’s rhetoric is not, as former Obama adviser Susan Rice claims, the problem. In fact, it is part of the solution. It has, at the very least, restored some of our deterrence.

Trump Wins Round #1 With North Korea Nuclear Showdown


Trump Wins Round #1 With North Korea Nuclear Showdown

About Lindsay Bellinger

Lindsay Bellinger

Strategic Business Intelligence Transformation Leader | Photographic Memory | Tested Genius IQ | Multi Award Winning Writer | Teacher | Public Speaking Expert | Media Interview Training Coach | Data Scientist | Public Relations | Communications Professional | Myers Briggs: ESTP, ENTP | This Mind Of Mine Is Deeper Than Most People Can Swim.

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